David Coulthard, former Formula 1 driver and Red Bull icon, has voiced concerns that Red Bull’s ability to retain Max Verstappen hinges on their success with the upcoming 2026 regulations overhaul. As F1 prepares for significant aerodynamic and power unit changes, the future of the four-time world champion’s relationship with the team is deeply tied to how well they handle these updates.
The 2026 season marks a pivotal shift in Formula 1, introducing new aerodynamic principles and engine rules designed to reshape competition. Teams that master these technical adjustments early stand to dominate, as demonstrated in previous eras. For instance, Red Bull surged to prominence from 2022 with the advent of a ground-effect aerodynamics package, while Mercedes ruled much of the 2010s by developing a superior Turbo-Hybrid power unit.
Importance of Power Unit Performance for Red Bull and Verstappen
Verstappen’s continuation with Red Bull is not yet guaranteed beyond the upcoming season, according to Coulthard. Red Bull will partner with Ford starting next season to manufacture their own power units, a significant shift from their prior engine arrangements. Coulthard warned that any technical difficulties with these new power units could unsettle Verstappen, potentially prompting him to consider moving to another team.
Speaking at an event in Zandvoort linked to his More Than Equal initiative, Coulthard explained the scenario:
“I suspect he’ll [Verstappen] look at ’26. If there’s a major engine issue with the Red Bull power units, that would be concerning, I’m sure. If that doesn’t look bad, if let’s say the power unit’s working, but they’re still trying to figure out a new regulation in the car, that might give them more time. But if it’s a struggle, of course he’s going to go somewhere else. He’s got the right to go somewhere else.”
He added,
“And I don’t think anyone in the team would be offended by that.”
Historical Examples Highlight the Stakes of Regulation Changes
The stakes for Red Bull are high, as regulation shifts have previously altered the dominance landscape in Formula 1. Teams that fail to adapt quickly often fall behind, while those that innovate can secure prolonged periods of success. Red Bull’s own emergence from 2022 onwards, leveraging the new aerodynamic rules, showcases this dynamic. Similarly, Mercedes’ dominance in the previous decade can be attributed to their pioneering Turbo-Hybrid engines.
Given these examples, the pressure on Red Bull’s technical team to deliver a competitive power unit and chassis package is immense. Their new partnership with Ford compounds this challenge, as they take on increased responsibility for engine development for the first time. How well they manage these factors will have a direct impact on Verstappen’s loyalty and the team’s future prospects.
Potential Consequences for Verstappen and Red Bull’s Future
This regulatory transition represents more than a technical challenge; it poses questions about driver retention and team stability. Verstappen, as one of the sport’s brightest talents, carries considerable influence over Red Bull’s performance trajectory. Coulthard’s comments hint at the fragile balance between technological success and maintaining top-tier drivers.
Should Red Bull fail to deliver on the power unit front, Verstappen’s decision to seek opportunities elsewhere could trigger a significant shift in the competitive order. Conversely, a strong performance under the 2026 regulations may solidify the partnership and continue Red Bull’s recent dominance in Formula 1.
