Juan Pablo Montoya, a respected figure in Formula 1, has issued a stark warning to Red Bull, suggesting that the team could face a significant decline in 2026, similar to what Williams experienced, if they lose Max Verstappen. As F1’s new technical regulations are set to be implemented in 2026 with fresh engine rules, Red Bull is entering a new chapter, aiming to build their own power unit through Red Bull Powertrains. While initial indications suggest Mercedes might gain a lead in engine development as they did in 2014, these claims remain speculative until the performance of all 11 teams is truly tested during the next year’s pre-season.
Red Bull’s endeavor to create their own power unit marks a significant challenge itself. However, losing Verstappen could compound their difficulties further. Montoya cautioned, “They have an engine power unit for next year that nobody knows how good it is at this point. Red Bull next year could be running where Williams is running,” as revealed to Instant Casino.
Speculation about Max Verstappen’s future within Formula 1 remains prevalent, especially following Helmut Marko’s comments after the Bahrain race. Marko expressed concerns about potentially losing Verstappen due to Red Bull’s lackluster on-track performance. Nevertheless, the discussion surrounding his future with Red Bull has diminished somewhat after Verstappen found himself back in the race-winning spotlight in Saudi Arabia.
Mercedes previously considered Verstappen as a possible replacement for Lewis Hamilton. Though the rumors have lingered, with drivers like George Russell and Kimi Antonelli nearing the end of their contracts in 2025, Mercedes’ team principal, Toto Wolff, has reiterated his contentment with the current roster. He assures a commitment to the drivers who have progressed through the Mercedes junior program.
Montoya also evaluated Verstappen’s potential shift to Mercedes, contemplating whether Toto Wolff would dismiss either Antonelli or Russell to make room. “The hard thing is, McLaren just re-signed Piastri. Would Toto get rid of Antonelli to accommodate Max? Or would you get rid of George? I don’t know how clear the option is there.” The situation is complicated further if whoever exits Mercedes were to join Red Bull.
Additionally, Montoya ponders the pairing dynamics and possibilities that could unfold if Verstappen was considered. He reflects, “If you had to make a decision tomorrow, would you get rid of George? George has been a Mercedes guy for a long time. It’s not like the only eyes were for Antonelli. And Antonelli’s done a very good job being a rookie. Do you want to pair George with Max? Do you want to pair Max with Antonelli? Or you decide to stay where you are and don’t take Max? That could happen.” The uncertainties linger, especially given Wolff’s past desire to recruit Verstappen. “I know Toto was desperate to have Max last year. Is he still desperate this year to have Max? I’m not so sure.”
Ultimately, the implications of Verstappen’s potential departure could instigate substantial changes within Red Bull, especially as they navigate the challenges of new engine regulations. The decisions made over the next few years might significantly impact the team’s competitive edge and trajectory within the sport. Keeping an eye on the developments as they unfold will be crucial for enthusiasts and analysts. As Montoya’s insights highlight, the stakes are high, and Red Bull’s next moves are more critical than ever.
