In May 2002, after winning at Richmond Raceway, Tony Stewart voiced strong concerns about the growing influence of aerodynamics on NASCAR racing, warning that cars were becoming too “aero-dependent,” which made overtaking more difficult. He cautioned that if the problem was not addressed, it would only worsen before seeing improvement. These early observations have become increasingly relevant today amid debates over the Next Gen car package and its handling of airflow and passing challenges.
Stewart’s warnings have gained renewed attention as many drivers continue to criticize the current aerodynamic design. Dale Earnhardt Jr. compared the Next Gen car to an IMSA sports car, suggesting it shares more traits with racing prototypes than traditional stock cars. Meanwhile, Kyle Petty argued that NASCAR has not truly raced stock cars since 1958, implying that the sport’s evolution has moved away from its roots. Nevertheless, a shared complaint among drivers and fans is that the aerodynamic “dirty air” has significantly hampered passing, leading the sport to lean heavily on tire wear to create overtaking opportunities.
Passing Difficulties Highlighted in Recent NASCAR Events
The passing issue was especially visible at the Bristol race earlier this year, where minimal tire wear led to closely matched lap times and gave Kyle Larson the advantage to lead 411 of 500 laps almost unchallenged. This dominance underscored how difficult it has become to overtake under the current aerodynamic conditions.

Stewart’s critique remains relevant as the sport struggles to balance competition and entertainment value. He had predicted such aero-related challenges would reach short tracks like Bristol, potentially diminishing the distinct excitement those venues traditionally offer.
“We’ve got a big problem starting here with aerodynamics and how aero-dependent these cars are getting. We’re getting IndyCar-style racing in Winston Cup cars, and something is going to have to be done about it soon, or else we’re going to start putting on bad races for the fans….but I hope it gets better before the race fans quit coming,” —Tony Stewart, via X/Nascarman
“Any disturbance in the air in front of you directly affects how your car drives, and at Richmond, you’re going through the same set of problems that you do on a mile-and-a-half speedway. It seems like it’s getting to the shorter tracks, and the next thing you know, at Bristol, we’re going to have this problem. If you get that problem at Bristol, then we’ve pretty much taken a lot of this sport away from what it used to be,” —Tony Stewart, via X/Nascarman
Recent Races Offer Glimmers of Hope Through Tire Strategy
The recent Cook Out 400 at Richmond differed from previous races in that Goodyear’s option tires degraded more rapidly, forcing teams to adjust from their usual fuel strategies and enabling multiple lead changes. This unpredictable tire wear helped produce a surprise victor in Austin Dillon and provided a rare moment of excitement amidst ongoing aerodynamic frustrations.
Tony Stewart Addresses Criticism Following Donny Schatz Split
Beyond his aero concerns, Stewart has recently faced backlash concerning the end of his nearly two-decade partnership with Donny Schatz in Tony Stewart Racing. Schatz, a highly successful driver, claimed eight World of Outlaws Sprint Car Series titles and nine Knoxville Nationals wins during his 18 years with the team. The split, announced just before several key racing events, drew criticism from fans and experts alike.
Stewart responded firmly to the outcry, emphasizing the difficulty of making tough decisions for the benefit of the team.
“If they’re so smart, I’d like to see them on a program, you know? It’d be really fun to watch them step on their d*ck and suffer, and think they know all the answers of what it takes to a professional race team,” —Tony Stewart, in an interview with Flo Racing
The Ongoing Impact of Stewart’s NASCAR Aero Criticism
Tony Stewart’s longstanding concerns about NASCAR’s aerodynamic strategies continue to resonate as the sport wrestles with racing quality and fan engagement. His early warnings about aero dependency have materialized in the form of reduced passing opportunities and fan frustration, prompting ongoing debate about the direction NASCAR should take to restore more competitive and entertaining racing.
The recent variations in tire wear have shown promise in creating unpredictable races, but the core aerodynamic issues have yet to be fully resolved. As NASCAR seeks to maintain its loyal fanbase, the sport must find a way to balance technological advancements with the on-track excitement that has historically defined stock car racing.
Meanwhile, Stewart’s leadership decisions, such as the split with Donny Schatz, highlight the pressures teams face in navigating success on and off the track, further emphasizing the serious challenges surrounding NASCAR today.
