Ravin Jain, Scuderia Ferrari’s Head of Strategy, has suggested that rain might influence the remainder of the Monaco Grand Prix 2025, taking place on the iconic streets of Monte Carlo. This unexpected weather outlook could play a critical role in shaping Lewis Hamilton‘s chances at rain-affected Monaco Grand Prix, potentially leveling the field during the eighth race of the Formula 1 season.
The Monaco Grand Prix is renowned for its tight and perilous circuit, where narrow streets and minimal runoff zones frequently generate dramatic outcomes. Such conditions have previously resulted in high-profile incidents, including last year’s severe crash involving Red Bull Racing’s Sergio Perez. As the race weekend progresses, Jain noted the possibility of showers despite prevailing sunny and dusty conditions.
“We have beautiful sunny skies now, it’s quite dusty. We are expecting a little bit of rain in the area come Saturday and Sunday too.”
—Ravin Jain, Head of Strategy, Scuderia Ferrari
This update contrasts with meteorological forecasts from the Weather Channel, which predict only a 3% likelihood of rain on race day Sunday, while Saturday is expected to be partially cloudy with minimal rain chances. Nonetheless, the unpredictable nature of Monaco weather often transforms the event into an intense and unpredictable contest.
The Impact of Weather on Monaco’s Racing History
The combination of Monaco’s challenging track and inclement weather has frequently produced some of Formula 1’s most thrilling moments. Wet conditions test driver skill and team strategy, often resulting in unexpected shifts on the leaderboard.
During the 2023 Monaco Grand Prix, rain arrived on lap 50, disrupting the event and enabling Red Bull Racing’s Max Verstappen to capitalize on the conditions, securing a dramatic victory. That race also saw Esteban Ocon and Alpine make significant gains through strategic pit stops triggered by the downpour.
The 2022 edition witnessed a similar disruption when rain caused a delayed start, ultimately allowing Sergio Perez to clinch the win. By contrast, the 2024 race experienced dry conditions, allowing Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc to dominate from pole position to victory in front of his home crowd.
The anticipation of rain in 2025 holds particular importance. It could create opportunities for both Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, especially given Ferrari’s current struggle to match the pace of rival teams during this season.
Charles Leclerc’s Positive Start and Strategy for the Weekend
Charles Leclerc, the 27-year-old Ferrari star, led both practice sessions on Friday, overcoming a minor crash with Lance Stroll to edge out strong competition. His performance provided Ferrari with a promising foundation at their home Grand Prix ahead of critical qualifying rounds. Leclerc shared his reflections on the first day of action via Ferrari’s official platform.
“Monaco is always very special, not just to me but to anyone driving on this track. On Fridays, everyone is taking their reference points.”
“It’s still too early to feel very confident for the weekend, but it has been a positive first day on track for us. Our one-lap pace was strong and I felt comfortable in the car, no matter which compound we were running on. Qualifying is going to be fundamental around here as usual, and we have to be starting in front if we want to bring home a good result.”
—Charles Leclerc, Ferrari Driver
Leclerc’s history at Monaco mixes triumph with frustration, having secured his first victory here in 2024 but also enduring multiple race retirements in previous years. His solid Friday pace signals a determined approach as he aims to convert practice success into a race-winning performance.
What Rain Could Mean for Lewis Hamilton’s Prospects
The prospect of rain introduces an unpredictable element to the Monaco Grand Prix, which could benefit skilled drivers like Lewis Hamilton who excel under changing conditions. Hamilton’s experience and tactical acumen might allow him to capitalize on the challenges wet weather brings to the circuit’s narrow and demanding layout.
With Ferrari’s current difficulty maintaining consistent speed, especially compared to dominant teams like Red Bull Racing and Alpine, the added complexity of rain could help level the playing field. The uncertainty may prompt strategic gambits from teams and place a premium on driver adaptability rather than raw pace.
As the weekend unfolds, the possible showers forecast by Ferrari’s strategy chief could trigger a shift in race dynamics, generating excitement and keeping fans on edge until the checkered flag falls in Monte Carlo.
