Why Denny Hamlin Is the Top Longshot for Autotrader 400

The 2026 Autotrader 400 is set for Sunday, February 22, at EchoPark Speedway near Atlanta, Georgia, following an intense conclusion to last week’s Daytona 500 where Tyler Reddick clinched victory amid two crashes on the final lap. This race marks a challenging follow-up and features a competitive field, presenting strong opportunities for selecting longshot winners. As bettors look ahead, the focus sharpens on drivers like Denny Hamlin, who carry intriguing odds for success in the Autotrader 400.

Advanced Computer Models Highlight Denny Hamlin’s Value

Denny Hamlin is emerging as one of the top value picks for the Autotrader 400 according to SportsLine’s advanced computer model. At 45 years old, Hamlin holds the second-highest number of active Cup Series wins with 60 victories, including several significant races on his record. Despite a relatively modest winning history at EchoPark—with just one win in 31 starts—his current odds of 18-1 offer bettors a compelling opportunity given his proven skill and recent form. Other notable longshots identified by the model include Brad Keselowski and Kyle Busch, both priced at 20-1, emphasizing the depth of competition anticipated in this race.

Computer Model’s Proven Track Record in NASCAR Predictions

Mike McClure, a seasoned daily fantasy sports professional with over $2 million in career winnings, powers the predictive model analyzing the Autotrader 400. His simulation runs, which model each lap 10,000 times, have predicted 29 winners since 2021 and correctly identified 11 winners in 2025 alone. This proven accuracy provides valuable guidance for NASCAR betting enthusiasts seeking an edge as the season progresses. For the upcoming race at EchoPark, McClure’s model singles out several longshot drivers to watch closely.

Denny Hamlin
Image of: Denny Hamlin

Top Longshot Contenders for the Autotrader 400

The following drivers stand out as the prime longshot picks for the Autotrader 400 based on current odds and model projections:

  1. Brad Keselowski (+2000)
  2. Denny Hamlin (+1800)
  3. Kyle Busch (+2000)

Brad Keselowski’s Strong Form at EchoPark

Brad Keselowski enters the Autotrader 400 with momentum after finishing fifth in the recent Daytona 500 and demonstrating consistent results at EchoPark Speedway, including a second-place finish in June’s Quaker State 400. With two wins and two runner-up finishes in his last 14 starts at EchoPark, Keselowski’s record here justifies his 20-1 odds as a driver capable of breaking through for another victory. His two Atlanta wins are the highest among this race’s field, indicating a strong affinity for the track and adding another layer of value for bettors.

Denny Hamlin’s Experience and Recent Success Boost His Prospects

Despite limited victories at EchoPark specifically, Hamlin remains one of NASCAR’s most accomplished competitors. His six wins in the previous season led all drivers as he secured second place in the overall Cup Series standings. With 60 career Cup wins, Hamlin’s racing prowess and endurance position him as a formidable contender this weekend. The 18-1 odds reflect some skepticism due to his track record at Atlanta, but his recent success signals that he cannot be overlooked.

Kyle Busch Offers Consistent High-Level Performance

Kyle Busch is the active leader in NASCAR Cup Series victories with 63 wins, including two at EchoPark. His all-time average finish of 13.1 at the track outperforms other drivers scheduled to race, and his last six Atlanta races show an exceptional average finish of 8.8, with five top-10 placements. Busch’s familiarity with the track layout and strong history in Atlanta deliver solid justification for his longshot status at 20-1 odds according to the model’s projections.

What This Means for NASCAR Bets Ahead of the Autotrader 400

As the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series extends beyond the drama of Daytona, the Autotrader 400 offers a fresh platform where rising stars and established veterans could claim victory amid fierce competition. Denny Hamlin’s position as a top longshot with attractive odds reflects both his enduring talent and the unpredictability of racing at EchoPark Speedway. Bettors should consider integrating these longshot drivers, including Keselowski and Busch, into their strategies, leveraging the precision of Mike McClure’s model to optimize their chances.

The upcoming race unfolds as a vital test of driver skill and consistency, placing significant emphasis on preparation and situational adaptability. With the green flag set to wave at 3 p.m. ET, onlookers and bettors alike will be watching closely to see which contenders can capitalize on the opportunity and potentially upset the favorite favorites.